Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction & odds
Valencia host Real Madrid in the La Liga (round 12) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Valencia are #79 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Real Madrid are #6 and have won all of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Real Madrid the favourites at 67%, with a draw at 19% and Valencia at 13%.
Rating: 1374
Chance to win: 13%
Last 5: LDDLW
Rating: 1715
Chance to win: 67%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Valencia are #79 and Real Madrid #6 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Real Madrid (67%). More from the La Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Madrid v Valencia | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Real Madrid v Valencia | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-03 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 2-2 |
La Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 27 | #4 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 25 | #12 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 24 | #6 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 20 | #28 |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 9 | #132 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 6 | #79 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 5 | #156 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |