Valerenga vs Tromso prediction & odds
Valerenga host Tromso in the Eliteserien (round 25) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Valerenga are #422 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Tromso are #232 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 190 places - in Tromso's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Valerenga v Tromso as close to a coin flip: Valerenga 32%, a draw 29%, Tromso 39%.
Rating: 1114
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: LWWLD
Rating: 1208
Chance to win: 39%
Last 5: WLDDW
Who will win Valerenga vs Tromso?
Valerenga are #422 and Tromso #232 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Tromso (39%). More from the Eliteserien.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Tromso v Valerenga | 4-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Valerenga v Tromso | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Tromso v Valerenga | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-01 | Valerenga v Tromso | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Valerenga v Tromso | 1-1 |
Eliteserien table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 43 | #195 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 24 | 40 | #187 |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 40 | #232 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 39 | #259 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 31 | #363 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 30 | #426 |
| 9 | Brann | 24 | 29 | #203 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 29 | #422 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 29 | #354 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 26 | #496 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 40 |
| 5 |  Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 |  KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 |  Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -24 | 20 |
| 16 |  Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -28 | 19 |