Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego: result and our prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps host San Diego in the Major League Soccer (round 32) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Vancouver Whitecaps are #501 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; San Diego are #941 and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 440 places - in Vancouver Whitecaps's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and San Diego at 24%.
Rating: 1087
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: WLWDD
Rating: 980
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: LDDDL
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego?
Vancouver Whitecaps are #501 and San Diego #941 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Vancouver Whitecaps (50%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Vancouver Whitecaps v San Diego | 4-1 |
| 2026-05-24 | San Diego v Vancouver Whitecaps | 2-4 |
| 2025-11-30 | San Diego v Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-3 |
| 2025-07-20 | San Diego v Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-26 | Vancouver Whitecaps v San Diego | 3-5 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 | #264 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 58 | #501 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #657 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 38 | #899 |
| 25 | San Diego | 32 | 35 | #941 |
| 26 | Austin | 32 | 34 | #993 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 49 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 47 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 |  Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | -42 | 22 |