Varzim vs Fafe prediction & odds
Varzim host Fafe in the Liga 3 (round 9) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Varzim are #1,665 in our world ranking and have lost all of their last 5; Fafe are #1,065 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 600 places - in Fafe's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Varzim v Fafe as close to a coin flip: Varzim 33%, a draw 29%, Fafe 37%.
Rating: 858
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: LLLLL
Rating: 949
Chance to win: 37%
Last 5: WDLDW
Who will win Varzim vs Fafe?
Varzim are #1665 and Fafe #1065 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Fafe (37%). More from the Liga 3.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Fafe v Varzim | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Varzim v Fafe | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Varzim v Fafe | 5-3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Fafe v Varzim | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Fafe v Varzim | 2-0 |
Liga 3 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 16 | #947 |
| 2 | CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 17 | #640 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 13 | #1065 |
| 4 | Atlético CP | 7 | 14 | #970 |
| 12 | Louletano | 7 | 8 | #1872 |
| 13 | Varzim | 7 | 9 | #1665 |
| 14 | Caldas | 7 | 8 | #2239 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |