Our model makes Vasco DA Gama the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Corinthians at 20%.
Vasco DA Gama are #217 and Corinthians #442 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Vasco DA Gama (55%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Corinthians v Vasco DA Gama | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-18 | Corinthians v Vasco DA Gama | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-05 | Corinthians v Vasco DA Gama | 3-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Vitoria | 30 | 36 | #493 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 36 | #296 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 35 | #217 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 32 | #442 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 32 | #465 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 31 | #423 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.