Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo: result and our prediction
Vasco DA Gama host Flamengo in the Serie A (round 33) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Vasco DA Gama are #276 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Flamengo are #74 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 202 places - in Flamengo's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Flamengo the favourites at 48%, with a draw at 27% and Vasco DA Gama at 25%.
Rating: 1184
Chance to win: 25%
Last 5: LWLLW
Rating: 1385
Chance to win: 48%
Last 5: WWDWD
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
Vasco DA Gama are #276 and Flamengo #74 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Flamengo (48%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo | 1-4 |
| 2026-05-03 | Flamengo v Vasco DA Gama | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-22 | Flamengo v Vasco DA Gama | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Flamengo v Vasco DA Gama | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo | 0-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #111 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #182 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 39 | #699 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 38 | #276 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #518 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |