Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction & odds
Velez Sarsfield host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 15) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Velez Sarsfield are #262 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; San Lorenzo are #555 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 293 places - in Velez Sarsfield's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Velez Sarsfield the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 24% and San Lorenzo at 20%.
Rating: 1190
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: WWLDW
Rating: 1073
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: DWWLL
Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?
Velez Sarsfield are #262 and San Lorenzo #555 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Velez Sarsfield (56%). More from the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-07 | San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Velez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo | 0-0 |
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 34 | #266 |
| 2 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 32 | #270 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 31 | #381 |
| 7 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 29 | #198 |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 28 | #262 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 28 | #280 |
| 16 | Barracas Central | 14 | 22 | #476 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 22 | #555 |
| 18 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 21 | #566 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 |  Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 |  Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 |  Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 |  San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -9 | 9 |
Second half of the season.