VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: result and our prediction
VfL Bochum host FSV Mainz 05 in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) on Tuesday 27 October 2026. VfL Bochum are #274 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; FSV Mainz 05 are #83 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 191 places - in FSV Mainz 05's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 24% and VfL Bochum at 20%.
Rating: 1184
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: WDLLL
Rating: 1370
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: LLWLW
Who will win VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
VfL Bochum are #274 and FSV Mainz 05 #83 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FSV Mainz 05 (56%). More from the 2. Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05 | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05 | 1-4 |
| 2025-01-11 | FSV Mainz 05 v VfL Bochum | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | FSV Mainz 05 v VfL Bochum | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-27 | VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05 | 2-2 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.