Our model sees Villarreal v Napoli as close to a coin flip: Villarreal 38%, a draw 24%, Napoli 38%.
Villarreal are #43 and Napoli #24 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Villarreal (38%). More from the La Liga.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.