Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction & odds
Villarreal host Paris Saint Germain in the UEFA Champions League (round 4) on Tuesday 03 November 2026. Villarreal are #48 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Paris Saint Germain are #5 and have won all of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourites at 61%, with a draw at 21% and Villarreal at 18%.
Rating: 1457
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: LWWLD
Rating: 1746
Chance to win: 61%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
Villarreal are #48 and Paris Saint Germain #5 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Paris Saint Germain (61%). More from the La Liga.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |