Vitória SC vs FC Porto prediction & odds
Vitória SC host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga (round 11) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Vitória SC are #220 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; FC Porto are #27 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 193 places - in FC Porto's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes FC Porto the favourites at 65%, with a draw at 20% and Vitória SC at 14%.
Rating: 1218
Chance to win: 14%
Last 5: WWLDL
Rating: 1538
Chance to win: 65%
Last 5: WWLLW
Who will win Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
Vitória SC are #220 and FC Porto #27 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Porto (65%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Vitória SC v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | FC Porto v Vitória SC | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-11 | FC Porto v Vitória SC | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-24 | FC Porto v Vitória SC | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Vitória SC v FC Porto | 0-3 |
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 | #27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 22 | #14 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 10 | #429 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 8 | #220 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 8 | #454 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |