Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction & odds
Vitoria host Fluminense in the Serie A (round 34) on Friday 06 November 2026. Vitoria are #520 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Fluminense are #246 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 274 places - in Fluminense's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Vitoria v Fluminense as close to a coin flip: Vitoria 30%, a draw 28%, Fluminense 42%.
Rating: 1084
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: DDLWL
Rating: 1200
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: WLWLL
Who will win Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Vitoria are #520 and Fluminense #246 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Fluminense (42%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Fluminense v Vitoria | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Vitoria v Fluminense | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Fluminense v Vitoria | 1-1 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #112 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #180 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 54 | #246 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #361 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 38 | #276 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #520 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37 | #405 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |