Watford vs Lincoln prediction & odds
Watford host Lincoln in the Championship (round 14) on Tuesday 03 November 2026. Watford are #887 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Lincoln are #298 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 589 places - in Lincoln's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Lincoln the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 26% and Watford at 24%.
Rating: 989
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: LWLLL
Rating: 1170
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: WDLLL
Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?
Watford are #887 and Lincoln #298 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lincoln (49%). More from the Championship.
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 15 | #284 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 15 | #511 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 15 | #298 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 14 | #510 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 13 | 14 | #327 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 14 | #641 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 14 | #719 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 12 | #303 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 11 | #887 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 8 | #275 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 7 | #538 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |