Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction & odds
Watford host Middlesbrough in the Championship (round 15) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Watford are #887 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Middlesbrough are #167 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 720 places - in Middlesbrough's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Middlesbrough the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 23% and Watford at 18%.
Rating: 989
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: LWLLL
Rating: 1262
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: WDWWD
Who will win Watford vs Middlesbrough?
Watford are #887 and Middlesbrough #167 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Middlesbrough (60%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Middlesbrough v Watford | 5-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Watford v Middlesbrough | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Middlesbrough v Watford | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Watford v Middlesbrough | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Middlesbrough v Watford | 3-1 |
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 25 | #167 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 23 | #238 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 22 | #44 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 12 | #303 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 11 | #887 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 8 | #275 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |