Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar prediction & odds
Young Africans host Kagera Sugar in the Ligi kuu Bara (round 11) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Young Africans are #243 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Kagera Sugar are #2,143 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,900 places - in Young Africans's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Young Africans the favourites at 83%, with a draw at 12% and Kagera Sugar at 6%.
Rating: 1202
Chance to win: 83%
Last 5: WDWWL
Rating: 792
Chance to win: 6%
Last 5: LLDWD
Who will win Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar?
Young Africans are #243 and Kagera Sugar #2143 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Young Africans (83%). More from the Ligi kuu Bara.
Ligi kuu Bara table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 9 | 27 | #207 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 9 | 22 | #243 |
| 3 | Azam | 9 | 20 | #383 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 10 | 6 | #1828 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 10 | 6 | #2143 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 10 | 6 | #1988 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Simba | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 |  Young Africans | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Azam | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 |  JKT Tanzania | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Namungo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 |  Coastal Union | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Polisi Tanzania | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Mashujaa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Geita Gold | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 |  Tabora United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kagera Sugar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 |  Fountain Gate | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |